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Special: 2021 China Tech Trends (with Tech Buzz China)

An independent reading companion to the Acquired podcast.

View the original episode on Acquired ↗

TechBuzz China's Ray Ma and Ying Lu frame 2021 Chinese technology through three shifts: internet-style consumer brands, hyperlocal group buying, and electric or autonomous vehicles. Flexible factories combine design, software, small batches, and five-to-seven-day turnaround, letting brands test physical products like software. Genki Forest and Perfect Diary iterate rapidly at home, while Shein uses China's supply chain and global performance marketing to release roughly a thousand designs daily. Manufacturing advantage is evolving from cheap labor into speed and responsiveness.

Community group buying extends digital commerce beyond top-tier cities by aggregating grocery demand, franchising warehouses, and using neighborhood pickup leaders. Fresh food establishes high-frequency behavior, while the prize is broader rural e-commerce and first-mile logistics. Internet giants and startups also pour capital into EVs and autonomous driving, where coordinated road infrastructure may favor China. Stronger antitrust rules curb exclusivity and discriminatory pricing; they may reduce incumbent power while creating room for startups, fintech, and international expansion.

  1. Factories now enable product experimentationChinese suppliers progressed from executing finished specifications to providing design, software, marketing support, and flexible small batches. Brands can test dozens of physical SKUs, amplify the few winners, and avoid inventory risk—the operating rhythm of an internet company applied to atoms.
  2. Supply-chain speed travels globallyShein couples five-day design-to-production cycles with Instagram, performance marketing, low prices, and cross-border fulfillment. The company shows that local consumer intuition is no longer the only route abroad when a centralized team can pair manufacturing responsiveness with measurable digital acquisition.
  3. Rural means enormous urbanized marketsChina's third-tier-and-below market includes around one billion people; even fifth-tier cities can contain a million residents. Lower housing costs can leave meaningful discretionary income despite lower salaries. Treating these customers as isolated rural households badly understates density, purchasing power, and logistics potential.
  4. Groceries acquire behavior, not just marginEggs and produce create frequent transactions for community group-buying platforms. Once users and neighborhood leaders depend on Meituan, Pinduoduo, Alibaba, or JD for staples, the platform can expand into branded goods and electronics as incomes rise.
  5. Regulation can reopen startup marketsChinese platforms used exclusivity, loyalty-based price discrimination, and negligible fines to entrench themselves. New antitrust enforcement increases uncertainty for public incumbents but can improve the opportunity set for founders and investors by making distribution and consumer-fintech markets contestable again.

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Your format on TechBuzzChina is, well, probably a similar amount of piles of research to acquired. Your format is way different. You actually write the whole thing out beforehand, right? Yeah, we actually do. We don't even record synchronously at this point. That's the craziest thing. So wait, can you explain what that means? We just record separately. I record my part, and then Ying records her part. It's more like an audiobook each episode, but sort of like two people reacting to each other who are not in real time in the same room.

It's wild. Yeah, yeah. Welcome to this special episode of Acquired, the podcast about great technology companies and the stories and playbooks behind them. I'm Ben Gilbert, and I am the co-founder and managing director of Seattle-based Pioneer Square Labs and our venture fund, PSL Ventures. And I'm David Rosenthal, and I am an angel investor based in San Francisco. And we are your hosts. On today's show, we have a crossover episode with Ray Ma and Ying Liu from the TechBuzzChina podcast.

Woo. So excited about this one. Been thinking about doing this for a while. I know. I've been listening to Ray and Ying for many years and listening many, many times over on repeat while doing research for Meituan and PDD and Tencent and Alibaba and Xiaomi and all of our Chinatech episodes. They are the best English language Chinatech podcast out there. And so excited to finally do this crossover. Yeah, no kidding. We wanted to cover a few things and thought that the best way to do sort of a broad general China episode that's not specifically about a company would be to collaborate on one and do it together.

So today we're going to talk about trends in 2021 for Chinatech, how Ray and Ying do their research, given that they both live in the U.S., their views on the Chinatech landscape and how those have evolved over the last decade as that ecosystem has rapidly developed, as we've covered on the show, and a little fun comparing and contrasting our two shows. All right, listeners, now is a great time to talk about a new partner of ours here on Acquired, Lagora, the agentic operating system that is redefining how the world's best legal teams work.

Yep. It's sort of obvious that AI is going to completely change the legal industry. I bet most of you listening have dropped a contract into some sort of AI chatbot out there. Lagora took that insight and asked the question, what if you really built something with that power from the ground up for the legal industry? So the founders did exactly what great founders do, operate with obsessive customer focus. They embedded inside a massive law firm for months.

They sat with the lawyers just watching how the work really gets done. And that's how you get features that customers love, like tabular review, where you drop in a folder of hundreds of contracts and it pulls every key term into a grid a lawyer can actually work with. Lagora's bet here is interesting. Since it lets each lawyer handle more complexity, any given person can increase the quality of their work and do higher value work. And this means that the pie can grow even as each individual task takes less time.

And they recently launched Lagora Agent, offering greater intelligence and performance. The agent lets lawyers set an objective. Then it can handle the planning and the execution and delivery of the final product. Legal teams get to maintain full control and transparency since they're still involved where judgment is required. And Lagora works where you already work. You can use it within Microsoft Word while redlining or drafting. The early Lagora numbers essentially speak for themselves. When they have a head-to-head pilot with their top competitor, they win 70% of the time.

Lagora now has over 100,000 lawyers on the platform from 1,200 legal teams in 50 countries. And crazily, they went from 1 million to 100 million in ARR in about 18 months. Truly insane numbers. And that is the real test. Plenty of things demo well, but the question is whether a busy associate actually reaches for it during crunch time or whether a partner trusts it before going into a conversation with a major client. If your legal team wants to check it out, whether you're a law firm or you're in-house at a company, you can learn more at lagora.com slash acquired and just tell them that Ben and David sent you.

Now onto our conversation with TechBuzzChina. All right, Ray and Ying, great to be doing an episode with you. Yeah, yeah. So totally. We're big fans of acquired. Our goal is to be like the acquired, but for China tech. Oh my God. That's true though. You guys are great. Well, why don't we turn it over to you real quick for, give us your personal backstories, a little bit about the show. Both of you live in California, right?

Not actually in China? Yeah. Yeah. We live both in the Bay Area right now. I was born in China, immigrated to the States as a kid when I was eight and grew up primarily in Silicon Valley, actually. You know, went to school at Berkeley. And then when I graduated, went into investment banking, doing technology because I wasn't good enough to be an engineer. So I studied engineering college and then went into finance. And in 2007, for personal reasons, moved to China and then ended up staying there for the next eight years, working in a variety of jobs, but starting first in real estate, investing, and then going into, even did some cross-border M&A, and then media, private equity, and then finally really, really early stage startup investing at 500 Startups, which is very,

very early stage accelerator and seed fund. And then moved back to the Bay Area at the very end of 2015. Didn't think I was going to do much with China anymore, but was, you know, still keeping tabs on things. And I was like, hey, podcasts are all the rage. This is in 2017. Should do a podcast on China Tech. Seems like it could be fun. And then very quickly, what I realized is that, you know, by the end of 2019, I would call it, I was like, wow, some of these companies that I'm just sort of covering for fun and personal passion for tech buzz are actually really doing really, really well.

And I should really think harder about whether or not I want to drop the China connection. And then so in 2020, decided to really pick it up full time. We took some investors to China with us in 2019 to visit a bunch of the companies that we talk about on the podcast. And then we were going to do that last year more, you know, as part of Tech To Us, but then the pandemic cut short all that.

So we've pivoted into more of a community now online for investors. And then I personally do a bunch of consulting for funds interested in investing in China Tech. That's great. Well, it comes through on the show. Yeah, I can't talk about everything. I get, you know, a lot of information is proprietary, but I try to share what I can. There's so much that is happening that is reported if you are Chinese. But if you're American, you're like, I just occasionally get this random story about Jack Ma disappearing.

Like, I would love to understand thematically what's going on under those headlines in China. Yeah. Yeah. And, you know, I think one thing I should point out when it comes to my personal experience, and also this happens to Jive with Ying because we, that's where we met. We met when we're both living in Beijing, which is that we were there in retrospect at a very auspicious time in China Tech. Because prior to, let's call it 2013-14, China Tech was really, really small.

So, I was really there when the first couple years, really, you could count on your hand the number of people doing angel investments in China, right? So, there literally was a book called Angel Investors of China. I think it had like 12 men in it. Oh, my gosh. Yeah. It's like the Warren Buffett used to go through, you know, the Moody's Manual of Companies to like look at all the companies. There's like a manual of the angel investors.

Here you go. Here are all the people. And then, so, I happened to then join 500, which at the time, by the way, a lot of people were like, why are you doing this? This is way too early. This is really bizarre. This is not a business model that works in China. And then, it's not like I knew what policies were coming. But then, two years later, boom, you have a couple thousand accelerators. You have hundreds of early stage funds.

And you have a total sea change shift in attitudes around entrepreneurship and startups where people went from thinking that was something honestly only losers did if they couldn't get a real job to now, oh, all the best and brightest would, of course, go and create their own startups. And that happened really around 2014 or so. And I think you can see it in the types of companies that are public today, right? Some of the most popular companies that are always talked about in media, you know, Pinduoduo ByteDance, Meituan, et cetera.

All these companies really started in the last decade. And Pinduoduo is a great example of a company that started in the last, you know, five, six years. This is when it all happened. Basically, all the capital started flooding in and the social attitudes changed. Before the pandemic, both of us used to go back quite often, I would say probably quarterly. Now, because of the travel restrictions, then it is primarily online. But the good thing is that because of the pandemic, actually, everyone in China is also more used to being online.

In fact, some of the VCGPs that I talked to, they themselves are not even based in China right now. They're like in Singapore or Taiwan or something. Very cool. All right, Ying, what's your story? So I think Ray brought me into the story when she mentioned that we met in China. It's been like 10 years ago when I went to China right after college. And even when we started this podcast, China wasn't a super hot topic.

And China tech, even three years ago, was not as appreciated. And I feel like things have just totally changed. And it's interesting to be able to say, oh, I've seen the rise of different sectors of tech, especially like online to offline, companies going overseas, like the rise of tech. The rise of all the digital live streaming and e-commerce happen in China while also watching concurrent trends in the US. But to go back, I came to the US when I was two from Guangxi.

I'm actually a fourth tier city. And a lot of my extended family that I'm very close with are still in fourth tier and some third tier cities. And they're all in Guangxi, except my parents and brother. So throughout my career, I've been more on the operator side. I've worked with over, I would say over half, so over 50% China-based, fully Chinese teams, like embedded as part of the team. I've been an employee. I've been a startup co-founder in China.

This was like 2012 to 2014. I fell into this niche initially when I moved to the Bay Area from China in 2014. And that was the year that a lot of Chinese apps were trying to go overseas. You guys might know about this. And I'd be brought on to help them with their US business deals or set up an office or like do PR and tell their story. And today I have two partners in China. Most of my deep-rooted opinions and like cultural schemas of China have been shaped by a combination of family background and early personal and professional experiences.

But I do want to emphasize that we really have to put in time to gather current knowledge. So, you know, when people use the term like China expert or refer to TechBuzz, I do think it's not something we just can spit off. It's just like you guys making an acquired episode and you have to put in a lot of the time to do the research. Well, you could not have teed us up better to discussing what is happening now in China in terms of trends for entrepreneurship.

So I'd sort of like to turn it back to you. Feel free to start wherever you want. But for both of our audiences, what are some trends that they should be paying attention to and that we'll be covering three to five years from now in the next Meituan and the next Pinduoduo in future episodes? So actually, that's a great question. And at least in the near future, what we're focused on at our insider community, what I said for this year, what I think are going to be really interesting are a couple of things.

One is consumer brands, and that's specifically on consumer brands being run like internet companies, which we can talk about. There's also community group buying, which is very disruptive, and it's a new form of e-commerce that's happening now in rural China that really kicked into high gear last year because of the pandemic. And then actually, the third thing, I will briefly mention it, but I don't actually have too much to share on the topic at the moment, which is if we think about China tech more broadly than just internet or than even just software, then this whole new thing of electric vehicles and autonomous driving is really, really interesting in China as well.

And actually, a lot of experts I talk to think that the US and China are really kind of on par, or some people even think China is ahead in that sector. And that's definitely something I'm watching. I'm more familiar with the AV front and less with the actual vehicle making, but those are all interesting things. Well, maybe let's first start with that direct-to-consumer and that brand piece and kick it over to Ying. Sort of, how do you think about that and what's going on in China there?

So at a high level, I think we've always thought that, you know, in my observation, the level of quality of Chinese consumer brands, like Ray mentioned, is going to go up. And this is totally in parallel with innovation in China continuing, China no longer being a copycat manufacturing and designing a lot of its own products. Ray, you mentioned consumer companies being run more like tech companies, but I'll delve more into specifically the DTC side, so direct-to-consumer brands.

So I think there's a huge market opportunity for domestic Chinese brands to gain market share in China. And that's not just because, you know, again, the media narrative is all about like the youth being very nationalist, but actually it's because if you look at developed countries, right? So for example, the United States, we actually have something like a quarter of FMCG products or foreign brands are non-US. But if you go to China... What's FMCG? FMCG, fast-moving consumer goods.

Ah. Yeah. So you're basically like consumer staples, et cetera, right? But if you look at China, again, the foreign brand penetration is actually north of 40%, very, very much higher than that for certain other categories. And so if we assume that China is going to look more like the rest of the world in terms of how strong its domestic economy and brands are relative to foreign ones, then, right, there's a huge market share that domestic brands can capture.

And this is accelerated by the fact that in recent years, manufacturing, design, all these things that go into brand has significantly improved. So like I was saying to you, Ben, the OEM of the past, the original equipment manufacturers were, you know, the model is that you go to China, you already have your product spec, you already have your brand, you have your design. You go there just looking for someone to make it for you. Those days are long past.

OEMs are now ODMs, right? They also do a lot of design where you can just go then with some sort of much fuzzier, let's call it product spec, and then they'll actually design something for you as well as manufacture it. To today, I hear people call it, you know, call these factories OBMs, right? Original brand manufacturers were literally they're doing pretty much everything for you except the final branding. You know, they even will do a lot of the marketing copy, et cetera, for you as well, because they've just gotten so much better at all these parts of the entire process.

I should caveat with saying that is still, in my opinion, a lot of PR. So not all the brands. So the Quunko original brand manufacturing is basically still, you know, ODMs. But the point is that they're significantly better than before, right? So you will see, again, you see this already on, like, in the U.S. and Amazon, right? You already have a bunch of brands from China, like, trying to brand themselves, right? On Amazon selling commodity products.

What we're talking about, however, is not, you know, your, like, no-name, unpronounceable brand from China selling, like, an Apple Firewire or something. Right. iPhone chargers or stuff. Yeah. We're talking more now about, like, people building real brand IP, right? So I think one of the examples that is very, very popular in China right now is probably less well-known outside of China is this brand called Genki Forest. And it is right now a $6 billion valuation company that wants to be the Coca-Cola of China, right?

So we already saw last year this company called Yatsin, aka Perfect Diary, wants to be the L'Oreal of China. And then last year we actually already also saw the listing of the P&G of China. So there's all these brands trying to take over the consumer staples categories. And the newest entrant, and I think it's really interesting, is Genki Forest, which is Coca-Cola of China. And they're just starting off with basically your carbonated beverages. And the different thing that they're doing is that the company is actually run by people who come from a social gaming background.

So they think about everything in terms of, you know, marketing, ROI, right? And doing very, very quick A-B testing and very, very quick iterations. And are they using OBMs, ODMs to actually make the soda? They're just a brand. They're just a brand. They're just slapping on their brand and marketing, right? So they did start with their own factory, but it was only in mid last year. And that's after, you know, that's a few years after they started, right?

So same thing with Perfect Diary, by the way, the cosmetics brand. And when they went public, they had also just started, you know, their own factory. I will say in the beverage industry, even in the US, that's super common. So like, I know this is going to sound a little trite, but I know the founders of Four Loco. And at one point in 2011, they had 100 people working at the company. 96 of them were salespeople.

Oh my God. And then they had the founders and a CFO. And they work with a contract manufacturer. So I think it's technically a contract brewer. And this is the most common way for any beverage or especially alcoholic beverages in the US to start is to contract out everything but the distribution and the branding. That makes a lot. That makes a lot of sense. I don't think, I don't think Genki First looks quite that. I mean, they are doing more R&D, but I think what differentiates them is how many SKUs that they're constantly trying.

So they do small batch testing and then they will do it on both the marketing front as well as sort of the physical products, of course. And then, you know, according to their founder, only 5% of their products make it into sort of mass channels, right? Because the mass offline channels are actually very hard to penetrate and also to manage. But so like this isn't like Coca-Cola where it's the recipe that has been one soda that's been sold for 150 years.

It's lots of different products. Yeah, it's a lot of like, so maybe even a better example is to look at Perfect Diary, which is they're doing a lot of collaborations, right? So like all the new brands these days, right? They're doing a lot of collaborations. They're making like very sort of seasonal-ish products. So they'll put out something. I think their average is one new product a week. And then whatever makes it, you know, quote unquote becomes a bestseller.

Then they'll put more resources around it. And it's the same thing for Genki Forest, right? So they are supposedly coming out with a new product every few days. And then they'll do sort of small batch testing with it. And then 5% or so of these products will then become, you know, a sort of further bestseller that they'll put into more distribution. And that is basically how, if you think about it, it's very similar to how you iterate on an internet software product, right?

So this is what I mean by companies and brands in China are now trying to do this, applying it to physical products. And they're doing this because they have such good access to a very, very advanced and flexible supply chain. I think a lot of people, when I talk to them, they're thinking of factories as like, you know, still very manual and, you know, people in these like long lines. But I visited some of these factories and they're actually quite advanced, right?

So there's a lot of automation. Like I said, they're all running software to manage themselves. And they have a lot of design in-house talent. And, you know, the advancements in manufacturing have gotten, have really primarily focused on speed in China. So when you think about manufacturing, the minimum order quantity is always a barrier for most people, right? So especially in consumer products like clothing and, well, clothing being, I think, the main one, China has really been able to push forward on having more flexible manufacturing.

By what I mean is when we visited Wuhan, who is a, I don't even know how you say their English name is Wuhan. But anyways, they're just about to go private. But they were previously, you know, we did an episode on them, how they were started by the quote unquote Kylie Jenner of China. So it's basically influencers making their own clothing and branded products. And when you say about to go private, are they public now? They are public now.

Yeah. About to go private. Haven't done that well. But when we visited them, we saw all their, you know, like all their clothing and all this stuff. And then we also visited Mo Gu Jie, who is a, you know, live streaming shopping app. And, you know, both of them told us that like, number one, you know, they had such good access to manufacturing and turnaround times were so fast. It's about seven days, right, from a design to being made and then shipped out the door, right?

Seven days. That's actually really, really fast. And for a company like Shein, which Ying can talk about, that is apparently down to five days. And yeah, like a company like Shein is pushing out a thousand new SKUs every day on their website. Amazing. Yeah. Yeah. I want to hear about Shein. Yeah. I've heard about this. This is crazy. Ying, bring us up to speed here. Okay. So I think that what Ray talked about with marketing and like really flexible supply chains, enabling the tech-based teams to focus on marketing and online marketing, which is actually like a highly valued skill, just like it is in the US.

So Shein takes five days of designing to ship. This is on average. They're producing a thousand new designs a day. They have $10 billion in revenue. Amazing. So no. It's all women's clothes, right? Yeah. All women's clothes. It's kind of like H&M fast fashion. They might have some men's clothes. I feel like they might have some men's clothes. I don't know. We can check. We should check. I can check. Do you want some, David? I do.

I do. It's super cheap, too. It's super cheap. I don't know if you want to wear them. Oh, wow. No, they do have men's and kids and beauty. So I can order something that was designed five days ago? Yes. It might take longer to ship and get to you. But five days, yeah. It will take a long time to ship. Yeah. Wow. It's like Wish shipping times. Yeah. Slightly better. Have you guys ever ordered from Wish?

I haven't. I've been tempted to, but I never have. I know only of Wish because I've seen it on Laker jerseys. Yeah, this sounds like Wish. I do think that's a good comparison. So you order and the quality of clothes, in my opinion, isn't very high. I think I did an order just to test it, but this was because I was benchmarking to another company. But Shein has, as of time of recording, 19 million fans on Instagram.

So note that I'm saying Instagram. This is not a Chinese social media platform. And we'll get a little bit into that, too, with some of the cross-border DTC happenings. This is amazing. I'm on the men's section, and you can get swimsuits for $3.90. It's true. Wow. Oh, my God. Yeah. And for reference, you need clothes at $26 billion. So we're kind of benchmarking Shein as the success story of overseas DTC brands coming out of China. And then Ray had mentioned we visited Mokuzia in October 2018.

And they're also doing small batch designs and producing a lot of new designs. So this is all innovations within the supply chain and shortening the time it takes to get new designs to market. And when people used to refer to fast fashion, you'd look at like a Zara or something. The knock was, oh, they're, you know, busting their ass to get this to customers' hands, you know, five weeks after they come up with the concept. And now we've shortened it to like five days.

Is that right? Yeah. Well, there's the shipping aspect of it. But yeah, if this was happening in China, then you can get, I think you probably get it shipped the next day. Yeah. That's right. Wow. Wow. And there's always been a bunch of people that are concerned about the environmental impact. And at least I know there's a lot of negative sentiment around fast fashion. How does that play into how all this is developing? I would say at least right now, like for a company like Shein, right?

First of all, Shein is called ultra fast fashion now, I guess. I don't think the environmental impact is probably fully baked into it. And I'm personally not a fan of the model, but I think the point we're trying to make is just that the supply chain is really flexible now. And the end goal really is to have it to be so flexible that you can make it as demand comes in, right? So that it is completely just in time.

And then you have zero inventory risk or zero inventory. You basically lower your cost so much. Yeah. It's like not even inventory. It's not even like just in time manufacturing. It's just in time creation and design of products. So they're like, there's no, there's not even any product risk. Yeah, exactly. Well, that's where people are trying to get to. We're definitely not quite there yet. Yeah. But that is the future. And yeah, we picked these categories.

Shein is actually an old company. It's over 10 years old. Because again, these supply chain innovations take a long time, right? But the supply chain innovations then can also be extended to other industries, like you were saying, you know, or like we were saying, the drinks, as well as cosmetics, et cetera, and all these other categories. There's a growing proportion of Chinese companies that want to sell into overseas markets, including the US, that are DTC fashion brands.

I've personally seen a number of business plans, including one women's fashion brand that I'm currently working with, and all of themselves benchmark themselves to Shein. So they'll have a graph on their pitch deck of like, here's the supply chain process. Here's like what Shein does. Here's what we're doing. Pretty much looks the same. Or there will be some minor tweaks. And then the end product is a little different. But it's usually in fashion, women's clothing. I haven't seen cosmetics yet.

But while their innovation in how they handle the supply chain, and how they position themselves to consumers might vary a little bit. What they share with Shein is a commonality of low price, a heavy reliance on social media. So remember when we said Shein had 19 million Instagram followers? This is something that I personally see as kind of similar to a heavy handed version of the whole utility apps overseas craze of like 2015, 16, or 14, in that you can have a domestic based team really master social media, as long as they speak English and get some help with your customer management, and then get the right operational scale.

So kind of like use labor to make up for what you don't have in either local savvy or necessarily like B2B software technology in order to just like get the performance marketing right and sell purely online straight to consumers. And like there's some tweaks with this. But in general, like investors seem to think it's worth betting on. And Shein, it's also on Amazon, right? Yes. Yeah. I don't think all their stuff is, though. Not everything. We're not the target customer here.

It's funny because I asked on Twitter. I was like, hey, have anyone heard of this app called Shein? And then all the people who replied were basically dads who had teenage daughters. They were like, yes! My daughter orders for this all the time. How fascinating. Interesting. So there's another factor in this overseas expansion, which is that within China, DTC brands insist on having a gross profit margin of 30 to 40%. So that's kind of just the benchmark.

Otherwise, consumers will think, oh, your prices are too high and it won't work. But depending on the industry, brands can charge like a roughly 10% margin on their costs. But when someone like Xiaomi enters the same market, then they'll kind of push all of the prices down to something like 5% and all of the other players will die. So this is kind of another case of like the market in China is so saturated in many categories that some people think it's less vicious to try to sell overseas, even though they don't have the native competitive advantage.

Oh, that's fascinating. It's very similar to what we were talking about, David, on the Meituan episode, where you have to move so quickly and grow so quickly because there's like 10 times the number of people at any given time trying to do the same company that you're doing. And there's enough consumers to sort of like support several different companies at once. And if there is any winner take all dynamic, then it's just going to accrue very quickly to whoever gets out ahead the fastest.

And otherwise, there's just like a massive race to the bottom on who will be willing to compress their margins the most. Yeah, I totally agree with that. It's just so competitive. Yeah, it's so competitive unless you can create the superior brand or customer experience, right? All right, listeners, now is a great time to tell you about a longtime friend of the show, Vanta. AI has scrambled the whole security picture. It used to be that you proved that you were secure once a year on audit or a static PDF.

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That's Vanta.com slash acquired for $1,000 off. And just tell them that Ben and David sent you. So for Xi'an and all these other brands in China, how is offline playing into this? Are they also doing physical retail in China or overseas? Or are these purely online brands? Yeah. So for Xi'an, that's actually a purely online brand selling exclusively outside of China. But for a lot of the new innovations that we're seeing inside of China, it's actually a merging of online offline, right?

So it's happening at two levels. The earlier we were talking about primarily at the brand level, there's also innovation happening at the channel level. And by channel, I basically mean like retail stores, right? So I think one thing that China definitely leads in that gets lost a little bit in all the coverage is that, yes, China leads in e-commerce, but China actually also leads in digital retail. By digital retail, what I mean is actually an offline experience that is highly digitized, right?

So that's very, very different from the US. And I actually, this is something you can sort of intuitively understand when you go shopping in China. But I think the, we did an episode with Jordan Burke, who is the former head of Walmart e-commerce and digital experience in China. And I think the way he breaks it down is really smart. And during the pandemic, we saw US stores, right? Use their shops as pickup points for e-commerce, right?

But in China, actually, that's something that's been happening for the last 10 years. Where shops are designed that way from the get-go because e-commerce has such a high penetration. So it's totally normal for people to, you know, shop online and go pick up at their local store. So the way the store is laid out is even different, right? Like where the warehouses are, how much, you know, what the flow of the store, et cetera. And this is because, you know, if you ask Gen Z here in the US, like they see less and less difference between online and offline.

Well, I think in China, because the society is so highly digitized, that's actually the typical experience for many, many consumers. They just think of it as shopping. They don't think of it as necessarily like- Online shopping versus going to the store, huh? Yeah. The stores have, like I said, number one, their outfit for picking, being able to be picked up. They're also much more integrated with their apps, right? So how many times you go to Costco and, or at least I go to Costco and I'm asking for some help and they're like, we can't help you because that's Costco.com, right?

And you're in the store, right? But in China, like a lot of these experiences are fully integrated. And then the app is also something people use when they're inside the store. And then there's also a lot more personalization, right? Because again, personalization is very important to the average Chinese consumer. But it's been shown that Asian consumers in general actually require a lot higher personalization or want a lot higher personalization than Western consumers. And what's an example of that when you say personalization?

Like what's a company that's done it well? What's an example of personalization? Well, what I mean is like the, actually all the e-commerce, I would say all the e-commerce companies in China do it fairly well. Like in the sense that the user behavior on some platforms, especially like Pinduoduo, is much more of a feed-based and recommendation pushed experience. Is it like the merchandising that you're seeing in your shopping experience? Yes. Like versus, you know, you walk into a Target and literally everybody who walks into that Target gets the same merchandising experience.

Yeah, that's a big part of it. Basically getting recommended what the store thinks you want based on your past purchases, right? Based on your, you know, experiences, but also getting very personalized promotions, right? So I think something that, I don't know if this is too much of a tangent, but in China, like there is a huge team called operations. That's really hard to find an analog in Silicon Valley companies. But all the e-commerce platforms actually have huge operations teams that are constantly working through promotions and working with merchants so that every time that you log on as a user, you're seeing, you know, different content than when you logged on, you know, the day before or this morning or whatever.

Yeah. Because people expect like, you know, people expect, you know, new content and new things to be offered to them constantly. It's funny that while this is not really a big thing in e-commerce in the US, I'm sure some companies do it well, but to your point, much more common in China, it's actually very common in gaming companies in the US to have a live operations team. You'll see, I spent a year working in the gaming industry and you'll frequently see people whose background includes live ops.

And that basically means they were running the in-game stores promotions for, you know, a live period of time with a lot of personalization built in. Oh my gosh, that's, I didn't realize that, but that makes a lot of sense now that I think about it. First of all, gaming was basically how, like, I would say 10 years ago, most people were working on some sort of gaming company or if they weren't working on a gaming company, their ultimate monetization was gaming, right?

So they could be working on XYZ, but they were basically trying to funnel people into games because that was the only, like, that was basically the only business model that worked in China. Yeah. Yeah. So a lot of people have this thing. We got a tangent here for a sec. What kind of gaming? Are we talking, like, League of Legends or, like, mobile gaming? Oh, Ying thinks I'm a gamer just because, like, I played more games than she did.

But, yeah. In college, she was like, I played games all through school. Yeah. I did. Yeah. There we go. Yeah, exactly. In college, I played a lot of StarCraft and, you know, EverQuest. And this is very much dating myself. EverQuest is, like, setting the bar. Yeah. Like, that is. Well, we, I mean, the way that we had Rahul Vora from Superhuman on the show, I mean, he really, like, yeah, Superhuman is great and all, but he really, like, won cred with me when he was like, oh, yeah.

He said, like, I was a game designer. I'm like, wait, I did the research. You were, like, an original game designer on RuneScape. Oh, wow. RuneScape. Yeah. Wow. That's crazy. That was one of the deals I worked on at Rain, actually. I love it. Rain invested in Jagex, which was the company of RuneScape. Yeah, yeah. That's right. That's hilarious. But I think, you know, Ben, what you said is just a really good point that I think, actually, that's a lot of where Chinese companies probably get their inspiration.

But to this day, right, operations remain really, really important. And, you know, everything is, quote, unquote, operated on, by the way, even the bullet comments on Bilibili have operators, right? Like getting special promotions or planting comments. Oh, yeah. We haven't covered Bilibili yet on the show. So introduce us to that company. What is Bilibili? Bilibili likes to call itself the YouTube of China. But it's basically the stickiest platform for Gen Z to create and watch videos.

I mean, that's not really how they make money. They have a more diverse set of revenue sources. But what they're really known for is this platform, much like YouTube, where people are uploading creative videos, generally between, I think, five and 20 minutes. So longer, not short videos. Oh, so not like DoYin, like TikTok type. Exactly. And much, much more like YouTube. That's why they do compare themselves to YouTube, except their business model is different, right? They don't make much money off of advertising.

They have also a gaming platform. They have live streaming, e-commerce. It's actually pretty diverse at this point. Yeah. Huh. I mean, that's just so that is so much more common in China than the US, where like it's just not an advertising driven economy. It's yeah. Yeah, you're right. Yeah. With the exception of ByteDance, who has made huge strides in advertising. Yes. I would say, you know, well, actually, Alibaba as well is really an advertising based company in many senses.

But yes, you're correct. Yeah. And I guess I should clarify when I say that, too, because I don't know like GDP figures spend on advertising. But in China, it seems like it never really was the default answer that so many people are like, oh, we'll put games in or we'll steer you toward commerce. Like there will be a more direct way to create and capture value. That's absolutely right. I mean, it has a lot to do with the fact that it was just kind of early, right?

Like China just crossed like $10,000 in GDP per capita. I don't know if you guys know the US number, but it's over 65,000, right? There's a pretty big gap. And, you know, for I would say the first couple of years I was in China, I had a lot of friends in advertising and they could tell you that it was really difficult to sell advertising. Well, why? Because at the time you really used to just invest your profits into growing distribution that you got way more bang for your buck out of just organically growing, you know, distribution points than trying to advertise.

Because advertising, if you think about it, it's really for a kind of saturated economy where all the distribution is already built out, right? And you're just trying to compete with each other. But at the, you know, with China, until recently, at least, it really was just like, just get your products in front of the customer, you know, versus like trying to say I'm better than the other guy. It's like, no, no, you win just by being there.

So this is a great transition point to the next big trend I think we wanted to discuss, which is community group buying, which we discussed a good bit with Lillian on the Meituan follow up on the LP show. But for everybody else, I mean, to me, like this is the like a perfect example of this, the focus on distribution in China. Like this, that's what it's all about, right? Distribution. Yeah. This is exactly a distribution play.

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But the question is, who's managing them all? So if you're trying to turn AI ambition into real business outcomes and make it work safely, securely, at scale, go check out ServiceNow.com slash acquired and tell them that Ben and David sent you. So yeah, what is community group buying? Community group buying is very simple. People are applying a group buying mechanism to buying fresh groceries to start with, but now also moving into other goods. To parts of rural China where there isn't a lot of choice and isn't great logistics for such products.

And then so what they're doing is they're collating demand, right? And they're aggregating it. And then the platforms basically send it to you the next day for your own self pickup, thereby saving money on the last mile logistics. And these are like to the previous discussion about advertising and not needing to differentiate your products. These are the ultimate unbranded. These are products from rural farmers, right? Like vegetables and stuff, right? Like that people are buying through community group buying platforms.

And the platforms are Meituan, PDD, Alibaba, like enormous tech companies, right? Yeah. Although actually, if you look at community group buying, we just did a call with an alternative data firm on this. And you can see that people are... So while fresh food is sort of like the way to get people hooked onto your platform. So like in China, for example, like everyone sells eggs because I don't know why like eggs are just... People just love cheap eggs.

And then I heard that nowadays, actually, they're trying to get people to get vaccinated by gifting you free eggs along with your vaccination. Eggs are just like... We get donuts. They get eggs. Eggs are like one of the best sellers on all these platforms, actually. But you can also see from some of these platforms are shifting into more branded and non-perishable products as well. So like boxed milk, right? Juices, you know. And then there was one platform.

I think they're just trying to brush their GMV. I won't say their name, but they're actually... Their best seller was actually the iPhone 12. So... Wow. Yeah. That doesn't quite seem like the same thing. So there's a platform that's selling iPhones via this community group buying model in rural China. It's one of the... Yeah. It's one of the top ones that are well-funded. So what I'm saying is that this is a model, but you can see...

Like while it's starting off with groceries, you can see pretty clearly that this is really just rural e-commerce. And the group buying aspect is... You know, if you consider group buying as something like the order only happens when enough people order it, that's not really happening right now anymore either, right? So like even the group buying aspect, I would say everything about these words is kind of up for debate. I would just call it hyper-local rural e-commerce.

Which by the way, Alibaba, their new initiative, that's what they're calling it. They're calling it hyper-local e-commerce. And the way this all works is fascinating, right? Like the platforms are pushing so much of the logistics work onto users and leaders of these group buying platforms themselves, right? So it's not like PDD or Meituan or whomever is actually doing very little to get these products in the hands of customers. Well, that's not strictly correct. You are correct in that they're not doing the last mile, but they have to do the entire procurement, which in the past in China would be, you know, you go to the farms, there were two or three layers of distribution before you as the final end customer, you know, got

it from a grocery store or the wet market or whatever. But now then Meituan or Pindoduo has to do this entire thing, which requires actually a lot of cold chain logistics for perishable foods that most of them don't have, right? So we did an episode on e-grocery in China, and I don't remember the exact stat, but you can compare the, you know, per capita, I guess, cold storage sort of capacity. And China's like a fraction of what's here in the US.

So that is actually a really, really good sector for you to invest in. Interesting. So they're doing all of the- They are doing all the warehousing. Higher level supply chain. It's the last mile that they're pushing down onto users. Yeah. And, you know, it's arguable whether or not it's really, really all that much cheaper because the Pindoduo CEO, Chen Lei, has actually said in agricultural e-commerce, it's not the last mile that's expensive. It's the first mile.

Huh. And why is that? Because getting it from the farmer, I guess, to the warehouse and then doing all that is actually, you know, that part of the supply chain isn't as well developed as, if you think about it, sort of the same day, same city courier system. Like a lot of the e-commerce actually already accommodates that. They've already built that out. Yeah. Well, and just the refrigeration and cold storage. Yeah. I assume none of that is happening during the last mile.

No, no. So, yeah, the way it works right now for all the platforms is we actually, like, took some deep dives into the warehousing because that is really where you're going to understand if this platform is doing it correctly or sustainably and can make it, right? So they actually franchise out the warehouses. So you can go, for example, and become, like, a Meitwa and CGP warehouse pickup point, I guess. And then you need to have, like, a certain number of capital.

You have this building that fits the requirements. And then you need to have, like, cars or, like, some type of vehicle that fits the requirements, et cetera, and this number of laborers. And then you can go and become a franchisee of the system. Yeah. Yeah. Wow. So I think to frame this, this is one of the areas that I'm personally really excited about seeing up close and in person when we can travel again. Because, again, a lot of the content that we're seeing around this is reported on.

And it's not people that Ray and I talk to on a daily basis because they're usually in first or second, maybe second tier cities. But this is really about, like we said, digital penetration into rural China. It is also about micro entrepreneurship. So the community leaders who are taking a cut of the total sales within their community are essentially, you know, being contracted and get, like, a nice partial salary every month for playing that role. And it's a way for the large platform.

So you mentioned Pindoduo, PDD, but also Alibaba and JD of putting almost, I would say almost billions of dollars US. Yeah. No, no, not almost. Yeah. They are billions of dollars. Over billions, like billions of dollars into their own platforms or into their investments. And sort of like at a high level too, what we talk about a lot on TechBuzz is the whole, what was it, trickle up consumption in, what was that phrase, Ray? It's hard to translate, but consumption upgrade is when people in China talk about the first and second tier cities, you know, increasing in their consumption and basically being like developed economy consumers.

And then there's also the consumer quote unquote downgrade, which is when all the brands are now discovering that rural China is where it's at. Exactly. Yeah. Hmm. And is this race pouring billions of dollars into the tier three and tier four cities? Is that just because they're out of growth in tier one and tier two cities and this is where they need to go to grow? Or why is there a capital battle going on there? Yeah, huge.

Because if you look at China, the growth has slowed down for all of China. But if you look at rural China, it's actually still something like 10% GDP growth per capita year on year. Right. So and this is about depending on how you slice it. But I generally like to take just the first and second tier cities out. The rest of China, quote unquote, rural China, third tier and below is still a billion people. Yeah. This is, you know, for Western audiences, just to give a sense of scale, like tier one and tier two cities in China are like bigger than any cities in the West.

Right. Right. Yeah. Like tier three and tier four are too. They're sometimes bigger, especially San Francisco. SF is really small. It's like a town. Yeah. So we're still talking about, yeah, as you say, a billion people in tier three and tier four cities in China. Yeah. Yeah. And below. And even, you know, again, tier five, it's really interesting because China has really good infrastructure in some sense, but then and a lot of people. But when you think about like retail distribution, think about like in the US, right?

We have access to really good, you know, grocery stores, supermarkets, because it's been over 100 years that people have been investing in these logistics, real estate, cold chain, et cetera. And in China, it's just going to take some time, right? Like they're already growing really, really fast. But but to give you an example of what a fifth tier city looks like, a fifth tier city, because I was trying to explain to an African entrepreneur exploring CGB.

I was like, I was like, oh, well, you know, in China, it really works well in these types of cities and fifth tier cities. She's like, what does that look like? So anyways, I found some stats and pictures for her. It's about a million people usually. So which is the size of San Francisco. Yeah, exactly. It's about a million people. Typically, I looked up like 10 cities. They're all about a million. And, you know, if you look at the skyline, they don't have like necessarily a ton of skyscrapers, but they have some tall buildings.

The main thing is that you'll find I thought this was like, hilarious is that all of them have either a Starbucks about to open or just opened. So that that is like the level of GDP that you can think about. And by the way, Starbucks is about three to four dollars per cup in China, right? So it's not cheap. It's premium in China. So when Starbucks is opening, I think it's a great indicator of this city being on the up and up and being able to consume more.

Well, this explains too, I think, you know, one of the things Lillian really talked about on the LP episode about CGB and the question of why is this so important? And why are all these big platforms investing billions of dollars into it? It's not about selling groceries to people. It's about capturing user behavior for all of these new people coming on to tech platforms, right? And so if they start transacting for their staple everyday goods on PDD or on Meituan or on JD or on Alibaba, and there's a really good chance that they're going to keep doing more stuff on those platforms, especially as their disposable income goes up, right?

Yeah, these are high frequency purchases. And then, you know, even the disposable income, I think you can't just look at the pure income level, right? Because it's the same thing as in the US where if you live in a quote unquote tier one urban center, you might have a high salary, but your real estate costs are super high as well. So your final like lifestyle purchases could actually be less in China if you live in Shanghai or something versus if you live in a quote unquote tier two city like Chengdu or a, you know, where Yingying's family's from like a tier four city, people there might actually have more money to spend.

Yeah. It's like, it's unintuitive, but it's true, right? Because the income disparity might be a factor of like two, three times, but the real estate prices might be a factor of 10 times. Yeah. Right. It's very like, like Shanghai when I left, I bought an apartment there and I sold it and it was like already more expensive than most districts in San Francisco. Wow. This is five years ago. Yeah. So Ray mentioned my family and I just looked up the population of the fourth tier city that I was born in and it's fourth tier, but there's 5.77 million people.

And what you were saying with disposable income and folks having more to spend discretionary in general, that's true. I feel like my aunt compared to my mom, she will spend hundreds of US dollars on clothing and her salary is probably like not to out her, but probably like one or 2000 US dollars a month. So we just don't know. Sometimes my mom's like, where is she getting the money for this? But it's because everything else is so cheap or if you're working kind of a government job, you get a ton of benefits, including housing.

And also I want to just ingrain in listeners' minds when we do say rural China, like we've already described, we're not talking rural areas. We're talking cities like the one I just gave you. We're talking 5 million person cities. We're talking like... Yeah, it's not like some field in the middle of nowhere. The reason this works in community group buying, like it's not just, oh, people traveling 10 miles to deliver one bag of groceries to the final outlier.

It's like they're in neighborhoods that are stacked like more densely than San Francisco. And so you have like the gatekeeper of the neighborhood taking the bulk orders and it's right downstairs before you go out. So what do we call like people farming in China? If rural China means 5 million person cities in dense, dense impact departments. Farmers. Okay. I think they're still called farmers. Wow. All right. Well, I want to transition us to one other big topic that I think we want to hit in talking through China trends today, and that is electric vehicles.

I think this is something that a lot of people have seen in the news, both because of SPACs that are happening, because of new battery technology companies, because of Tesla competitors, because of Tesla, you know, building a very large factory in China. Like what the heck is going on with electric vehicles in China? So first of all, it's just like a big priority right now. I think if you look back 10 years ago, China probably didn't care that much about environmental damage or climate change, at least not at the expense of economic development.

But in recent years, you've really seen China take a lead on climate change. And part of it is because, you know, they realize that reliance on oil and just, you know, all the devastation from climate change is actually bad for national security, right? It's destabilizing. So now electric vehicles has become a huge priority in China, and every brand is jumping into it. So in the past month alone, we've seen Huawei announce that they're going to put in the software into EVs.

We've seen Xiaomi announce that they're going to invest $10 billion over the next 10 years into EVs. We've seen DJI, the drone maker, say they're going to participate in EVs. And, you know, the BAT and, you know, companies like... So Baidu is now effectively basically a autonomous driving company, actually, if you just look at their... Really? Yeah, basically. Like, that's really the main story now for that company. My and our unacquired sort of perspective on the BAT and Baidu specifically is like that they've just fallen off the map and it's just Alibaba and Tencent are the big players in China now.

But I at least haven't known anything about what's actually happened with Baidu. Yeah. Basically, like investors, like I talked to, are basically like, oh, you're basically investing in Baidu as a autonomous driving company and you're getting the search business for free. Wow. That's what it is. So it's like investing in Waymo and getting Google for free. Yeah, exactly. Exactly. Right. So it's like if you... And, you know, again, like when Baidu introduces itself now, I know a lot of the PR people there, it's basically...

We're an AI company. That's accurate. Yeah. Yeah. And they've made, by the way, a lot of progress in autonomous driving. So no knock on them. But if you look at Alibaba, they also have a bunch of JVs in EV. We don't know exactly what they're doing because they've only announced JVs, but no specifics. Tencent, of course, has invested in... I think they invested in NIO. Alibaba also invested in Xpeng. And then Meituan invested in Li Auto, which are the three publicly listed Chinese EV companies.

And then they've all made significant money, I guess, at least on paper, on these investments because they're all up significantly in the last year, which is hilarious because when we visited NIO in October 2019, I remember our meeting got canceled at last minute because this was the period when people weren't sure if they were going to be in business. So their stock price was like hovering around. And are they making cars? Like are these companies cars on the road?

Yeah. Yeah. All of them have delivered vehicles. Of course, they're a fraction of Tesla, but they've all delivered vehicles. In fact, I think NIO now is a, I want to say, yeah, $59 billion company. Wow. Yeah. Literally a year and a half ago, we weren't sure if they would be survived. Which is what Tesla was two years ago. Yeah, I know. Invest, invest. Well, it's funny. Is the Tesla sales multiple being applied to all of these companies too?

Is that what's happening? Yeah, I think so. The exuberance has lifted the entire sector. Yeah. And when you consider, of course, that China's largest car market and there's government push towards EVs, that, yeah, there's a lot of excitement. And is it fair to say that the car market in China is probably four to five times as large as the car market in the US just by population? Yeah, I actually don't know. I did an episode on this, but I don't remember the exact numbers, but I do remember it's the largest.

Yeah. Huh. Because I have heard this from other sources sort of talking about the growth of electric vehicles, people saying, oh, well, the real growth is in China just from a consumption perspective. Yeah. Yeah. And I think that's people betting on the continued development of the economy and the incredible demand and probably government incentives to be driving an electric car in the next few years. Definitely government incentives. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, it's complicated. It's a complicated story.

The government is tamping down incentives. But I think the overall demand is still going to be there. Yeah. And then, but there's a lot of, there's a lot of competition, as you can see, basically every internet company, and we've listed a bunch. I'm just waiting for Pinduoduo now to announce that they're going to do some discount car. Yeah. EVs are the new games for Chinese companies. No, for sure. For sure. Yeah. And then the, pretty much everyone's announced one.

And then separately in autonomous driving, which I think is also really interesting. But all of these companies are private. So, so we don't know as much about them, but I've talked to a bunch of people who have invested in this space and I've talked to a few of the companies. I think that this is a space we should definitely be watching because China is going about it in a different way. So Baidu, for example, is working with the government on autonomous driving solutions that aren't just the software, but also include remaking the infrastructure on the road.

Right. So, so we'll see if that works. And then there are just, yeah, a bunch of players that are really like teams actually that came out of Baidu. Also Google, just really, really top-notch AI talent. And the word on the ground is that it's anyone's game. Like who's going to get to level five first? It's not clear that it would be the US winning. I think China has a really strong chance. And this is like the first, this is what I would say is like the first sort of deep tech, right?

Not like consumer internet, lightweight app, but really deep tech that we see this competition play out. That will be, that will have really, really interesting lasting effects, right? The first country to get to level five is going to experience tremendous efficiencies. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Well, and the, you know, the infrastructure point is an interesting one too, because, you know, I remember not that I've spent a ton of time in the autonomous space, but, you know, a few years ago people were thinking, oh, well, if, you know, there's going to be new roads built or roads upgraded in the US that are going to be integrated with AVs and this is going to be great.

The reality is like, that's not going to happen in the US anytime soon, but China could actually do this. Right. The US is at a huge disadvantage for this, both because of the sort of like reliance on the existing system, whereas China will just make a government mandate and say, nope, we're building an all new system and people will snap too. But also because of the federal system, the idea that we're a whole bunch of states that are all going to pass laws independently.

I think the ability to require that people stay at home during the coronavirus is a very similar example where if something is declared by fiat, it is much more likely to be followed than, you know, please, please population do something. Very different strategies that both have their trade-offs. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, it is not that centralized in China either, but I think there are, yeah, the local governments who I've worked with, some of them, I definitely have a lot more power, a lot more budget than, you know, than here in the States.

I can't imagine some of the cities I've lived in the Bay Area, for example, really being able to remake the entire, you know, traffic light system or lane markers or whatever it is that's needed. Yeah. Probably. It's like, it's just impossible to even imagine. I know, right? It's like the potholes aren't even filled yet and you're going to make this a smart road? I don't know. All right, listeners. Now is a great time to talk about one of our favorite companies, Statsig.

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It's very different than the way that you would ship features in a pre-AI world where you knew exactly what the software was going to do in production. Yeah, exactly. So this is where Statsig comes in. It brings experimentation, feature flags, and product analytics into one unified system so teams can ship safely, test rigorously, and directly link what they changed to how users actually behaved. The result is a tighter feedback loop and learning that compounds over time so you don't just ship more, you ship better.

So if you want to make learning your competitive advantage, whether you're building new AI experiences or just evolving your existing core product, go to statsig.com slash acquired to get started. All right, one more lightning topic here before we close, because I know it's on a lot of people's minds who follow China Tech. What is going on with antitrust in China right now? And is it a good thing? Is it a bad thing? I will say it's definitely affecting asset prices and stock prices.

So what's happening there? So I think the antitrust caught some people off guard. But actually, if you look at the history, this was pretty much inevitable. And it's actually been in play for quite a few years, right? So I talked to people who've been working on antitrust in China in at least three or four years in the making. If you look at the history, Chinese antitrust law, the first version was passed in 2008, which is really late, right?

Because in the US, it was like in the 1890s that there was the first version. The Sherman Act, I think, was the origin of it. Yeah, yeah, exactly. Exactly. And then nothing was done for the next 12 years. So specific to tech, we had one case that was Chihu360 and Tencent. They got into a fight where it was actually very similar to what's happening right now, where they basically told their users that the other software program was malware and that if you wanted to use my program, you had to uninstall the other program, right?

Forcibly. And then Tencent actually won that case, but it actually had ramifications in that it really changed how they thought about their strategy going forward. This is actually the time after which they stopped making a lot of products internally and started investing. So this is when they built their empire, so to speak. But after that case, no cases were heard for the next 10 years. Wow. So literally zero antitrust cases in China for 10 years. Yeah, yeah.

Well, in tech, in tech, there were plenty of antitrust cases, but I mean for internet, for internet. So let's make that clear. Then in January 2020, in an effort, honestly, to catch up with the rest of the world, right? So if you look at all the state media and the government proclamations, this is all about trying to catch up with the rest of the world. They issued the first draft and then a lot of the things were very reasonable.

And then they issued more, of course, towards the end of last year, specifically around platform companies. But really, you've seen movements towards this direction for a while now. And all of the things are meant to really protect consumers as well as vendors who deal with these platform companies. Because let's face it, some of them, like Alibaba, who recently received the massive $2.8 billion fine, were really abusing their positions. Yeah, they were telling people that you could only do promotions or sell products on my platform and not JD, right?

So this is very egregious if you think about it. Yeah. And then the laws also protect consumers against various other things, which is like discriminatory pricing. So a lot of the platforms were discovered by the public to be discriminating against users. And in fact, they were doing it against their most loyal customers, right? Because... Right. They're going to be happy to pay more. Yeah, exactly. They're like, we know you're really sticky and you're very loyal. So we're going to actually charge you more for the same thing than for a new user.

So this is obviously really not cool. Oh, so really, I think the proper takeaway is that China is really trying to catch up to the rest of the world. And this is something that is going to be in play. This is not something that's going away. China is very adamant about this. It's not going to go back to the days of the wild, wild west, which I agree with. And if you talk to investors on the ground and consumers on the ground, they're all cheering these resolutions.

In fact, they're like, why didn't this happen earlier? Right? And why is that? Because again, some of the practices that these big tech companies were doing that were really, really unfair to both consumers and vendors. And there was just no recourse because the antitrust authorities weren't really even hearing any cases, right? So all of the judgments also were... Oh, I shouldn't say the antitrust. They were hearing cases. But I would say the judgments were very small.

So prior to the draft laws changing this, I think the upper cap for violations was like a million RMB, right? Or 500,000 RMB. It might have been even lower, which is like $70,000. It's like, here you go. That's like a small tax you're going to pay. Yeah, exactly. Like imagine you're a $200 billion company. This means nothing. So if you're a startup investor or a startup founder or employee, this is great news for you because this is going to force China big tech to play fair.

Exactly. So and that's exactly what's happened. If you talk to VCs on the ground, if you talk to entrepreneurs on the ground, one VC actually said something. This is more specific to fintech. He was like, oh, yeah, I was previously not interested in consumer fintech at all. But now that all these rules came out, I think I'll start looking at it, right? So fascinating. All right. Well, as we close here, let's look with an eye toward the future.

What should people sort of think about as what's next for China tech through 2021, 2022? So I think it's really hard to sum up what we should be looking at, because as you've heard throughout our entire discussion, there's so much going on in China tech and so many sectors that are experiencing innovation. And you have people who used to start internet companies going and making electric cars and raising a bunch of money for that. So that's happening domestically.

But I think in my purview, there is a lot of increased internationalization that we kind of thought stopped last year because of COVID. But I actually see signs of it starting up again and accelerating. And this whole trend of Chinese companies not just coming to the US and Europe, but also going to Southeast Asia, to Brazil, to other emerging markets, India. That's, again, been ongoing. And I feel like having honed their chops at home, that's only going to accelerate.

And there's certain sectors like e-commerce that are very well positioned for that. And there's companies that have already started to take advantage of those trends. And I think capital kind of in a cycle recognizes that as well. So definitely internationalization. I think from a talent point of view, too, founders who have found either success at home or success in a different sector or have had global education. And I know you guys have seen this, too, with probably all the founders that you're meeting with.

They take that knowledge and return home. And it's more comfortable to have a great lifestyle and to be well-funded and well-supported in the China market. And from there, kind of take on the rest of the world because you know how to hire teams in other places. So I think that that's going to continue. There's definitely continued innovation. I think, Ray, you wrote, McKenzie's head of China said, no, China, no country. We're the main thing. Yeah. So and I think this is more of a meta point because I think we covered the sectors that we think are really interesting to look at for this year.

The meta point is that I think for Chinese companies, don't expect them to impose any boundaries on themselves, right? So, for example, we see that ByteDance is now going into local services and trying to move Meituan's cheese, right? We see, of course, like Xiaomi going into EVs. But all these companies are going wherever the opportunity is next because the amount of change that's really happened in the last 30 years in China. GDP went up 30 times in China in the last 30 years, right?

That's the highest, like far, far higher than any other country, which makes both the customers in China hyper-adaptive, but also makes the entrepreneurs, they're hyper-adaptive as well. No one really takes anything for granted. They're looking for the next thing all the time. Right. Well, like the story of Meituan is that it started as a Groupon clone, and today it's the largest travel player and a huge community group buying platform and all sorts of stuff. Yeah, exactly.

Meituan is a perfect example. Basically, Wang Jing, I think it really embodies this, but so does Zhang Yiming at ByteDance, et cetera, right? Like they've just made a $4 billion acquisition of a gaming studio, and then three weeks later, they made another acquisition, which I think is also billions of dollars. It was undisclosed. But just looking at the company, it's definitely up there. Yeah. I mean, if I had to describe this trend, I think it would be U.S.

companies think that their core competency is something like e-commerce or ride sharing or social networking, and Chinese entrepreneurs think, we have lots of competencies. We have a lot of capital. We have a lot of users. Yes. Let's do whatever. Let's do lots of things with that. Yeah, exactly. We'll do whatever makes money. Our core competency is making money. Yeah. Either making money or if we're losing money, then raising money. So something like that. Yeah. So I definitely, there's this basically, I think, existential anxiety that people have because they've seen so much change over the last, you know, during their lifetimes that they can't take anything for granted, right?

So people don't hold onto their laurels for too long. And they're always investing. Yeah. Like, did you guys know, for example, ByteDance has invested big into fintech and even into hospital, right? Wow. No. Whoa. Yeah. And then, of course, there are rumors they're making their own EV as well. Like, who knows, right? Everyone, you get an EV, you get an EV, everyone gets one. And it's still a private company. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Wow. Well, that's a great place to leave it.

Ray and Ying, this was super fun. Thank you for doing this with us. Yeah. Thank you for having us. All right. Well, that wraps up our crossover episode with Tech Buzz China. If you liked what you heard and you want to listen to more, there are loads of great episodes from Ray and Ying. Just search Tech Buzz China in any podcast player and you'll be able to find it. If you want to talk about this episode, the goings on of the tech world, or just talk to genuinely smart people about what's going on in tech and business, you should join the Acquired Slack at acquired.fm slash Slack.

If you love acquired and you want to be a deeper part of what David and I do here, you should become an acquired limited partner. We have obviously the loads of things that we normally talk about, the library of content, the VC fundamentals episodes, the interviews, the monthly Zoom calls. But this month, we have a special announcement about our next book club. David, what are we doing? The triumphant return of the book club. We are so excited to bring it back.

We are having Brad Stone back on Acquired to hang out with all of our LPs and talk about his new book dropping this month, Amazon Unbound. I can't wait to read this book. Ben and I both have it pre-ordered. Uh, the, uh, uh, Brad's first book on Amazon was just like a classic. That's, uh, the everything store was the everything store. Yep. Yeah. I learned so much from that book and Brad is just such a sensational reporter and so much has happened since we, since he laughed last left Jeff.

Uh, this is going to be awesome. So Brad is going to join us for live discussion with our LPs and we can't wait to see everybody there. Yeah. And for you LPs, uh, you'll get this in your email and an announcement with all the details of how to join, but, uh, read the book by May 21st because that's when we'll be, uh, we'll be doing the discussion. And, um, if many of you may actually remember listening to Brad, uh, when he was on our Uber and DD episode as a guest back, uh, when he wrote his other book, the upstarts from, from the history of Uber and Airbnb.

So join us, become an LP, uh, tune in live and, and join us on the zoom and ask Brad some questions too on May 21st. Well, with that, uh, David, I think that's all we've got. So folks, we will see you next time. We'll see you next time. Bye.